This entire post has been taken from here: https://old.reddit.com/r/islam_ahmadiyya/comments/nibvhc/death_prophecies_in_islam_ahmadiyya_a_safe_bet/
Creds to u/SeekerOfTruth432
The Post
We all know how important death prophecies are in Islam Ahmadiyya. Be it Zia ul Haq, Pundit Lekram or Alexander Dowie
where the conditions have been met. Or Abdullah Aatham, Maulvee
Sanaaullaah and others where the conditions had to be… reinterpreted for
them to appear like they have been fulfilled.
In fact they are so important that in the 10th argument in his book called Invitation to Ahmadiyyat, 3 of the 12 prophecies
selected by the Second Khalifa to convince a non-ahmadi of the truth of
Islam Ahmadiyya are death prophecies. Specifically Atham, Lek Ram and
Dowie.
However, there is always a small asterix that is never written next
to those prophecies but is always here. The Messiah of Ahmadiyya makes
it clear in the following passage:
https://www.alislam.org/library/books/Haqiqatul-Wahi.pdf pg219|pg239 in pdf
But the two prophecies of mine which they quote again and
again—namely, the ones about Atham and the son-in-law of Ahmad Baig—have
been fulfilled. Since they had conditions attached to them, there were
delays in accordance with those conditions.. These people do not know
that it is not necessary for the prophecies of warning to be fulfilled. All the Prophets are agreed on this.
There are only two possible scenario, the person either die in the timeframe specified, or they don't.
If the person dies: Alhamdulillah God is great. God has proven himself.
If the person does not die: It is not necessary for prophecies of warning to be fulfilled .God is the master. God is merciful. God is kind. Alhamdulillah God is great.
No matter what happens in real life after the prophecy is uttered,
the believer will end up with a confirmation of their faith. There is no conceivable scenario where the conclusion is "the prophet is false".
In the worst case scenario, the prophet will get almost no damage
with their following. In the best case scenario they will appear divine
and maybe get a few new followers.
In light of this passage, it is clear that death prophecies are one
of the safest types of prophecies to make within Ahmadiyya. There's
virtually no risk being taken by the prophet. Therefore, Death prophecies should be recognized as being just that. A safe bet.
I've gone out of my way to avoid using the terms unfalsifiable and
confirmation bias but this is a good example of those. With the * that
the Messiah of Ahmadiyya has placed on death prophecies, he has rendered
them unfalsifiable. They can never be wrong. They cannot be falsified.
They are now simply a tool for confirmation bias to be applied on. I
talk about this pattern for prophecies in Ahmadiyya more in this post:
Islam Ahmadiyya and the importance of falsifiability>